Blog posts
You can find here short posts about critical thinking.
These posts have short links like this to reference them: https://umneem.org/b1
Recent posts
Transforming the Future Anticipation in the 21st Century
A book by Riel Miller, 2018.
It isn’t just a book review, it is also a review of a concept. The book introduces the concept of future literacy, a discipline, a concept, and an idea promoted by UNESCO. This concept should help people to think about their future more productively. In turn it should help to make a better decision and create a better future.
The books consists of a number of articles about different aspects of future literacy.
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Failure Mode Analysis
As people often think too positively about their own plans, these plans may fail due to unforeseen issues. There are also a number of cognitive biases related to planning: normalcy bias, optimism bias, and planning fallacy. But I can add even more, because almost every bias can influence people’s decision making. Fortunately people invented a number of methods to make better plans.
One of these methods consists of imagining what can go wrong before making any decision or acting on a plan.
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Simple Decision Making
You may know about the following method to help you to do or not to do something. You need to have a sheet of paper, or an appropriate electronic tool to write down the benefits and disadvantages of doing this thing. Even in this very simple way it can be very helpful for decisions which require some analysis. Sometimes simple heuristics can’t help you or you may want to check the results of using heuristics with another tool.
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